Five predictions for a Queen’s Speech on egg shells

Steven Cameron, Pensions Director at Aegon, outlines the key savings and investment issues that should feature in the upcoming Queen’s Speech.
 
After an election that delivered nothing short of political uncertainty, all eyes now turn to the delayed Queen’s Speech to provide some much-needed assurance about what’s in (and not in) the legislative programme this year. It is due to take place on Tuesday but there is speculation that it may be delayed while talks continue with the DUP. Either way, without a one-party majority, compromise will be the watchword.

Here, we set out our predictions for what will appear and what else will need to be prioritised for the benefit of savers and investors.
 
 Without a clear majority, the government is walking on egg shells as it decides how to pursue manifesto policies. Above all else, the legislative timetable for the next two years will be dominated by Brexit negotiations and the Great Repeal Bill, but a weakened hand means key planks of the Conservative manifesto are now less likely to feature.

Triple lock continuation is now a no-brainer

The plan to replace the state pension triple-lock with a double-lock from 2020 is not supported by the DUP or by other parties, so is unlikely to feature. With a high chance that inflation will remain above 2.5 per cent in the coming years, pursuing a move to a double lock would save the government no money, making it something of a no-brainer to extend its shelf life for at least the next five years.

- State pension triple lock: is a stay of execution on the cards?

Government unlikely to grasp social care nettle

Conservative proposals for individual contributions towards social care costs went down like a lead balloon with voters, so we don’t expect this nettle to be grasped in the Queen’s speech. An ageing population means social care funding needs to be tackled urgently, but expect further consultations before we get any hard promises from government. We hope the government will aim for cross-party consensus before arriving at a clear, fair and sustainable deal between the individual and the state.

Pension Bill to tackle scams and Defined Benefit issues

It’s hard to envisage any Queen’s Speech without a Pensions Bill. This year’s should set out protections from pension scams and give the Pension Regulator greater powers to protect individuals’ defined benefit pensions from unscrupulous employers or company failings. 

- Pension predictions post-election: what now for your finances?

Spring Budget loose ends tied together

A new Finance Bill could tie together the long list of loose ends from the Spring Budget dropped from the pre-Election Finance Act. We need clarity on the future level of the Money Purchase Annual Allowance for those who have exercised pension freedoms, and on the amount of employer-sponsored advice which is exempt from National Insurance and tax.    

Reviews of the state pension age and working practices

The government’s response to the Cridland review of state pension age is now long overdue, as is the Taylor review on modern-day working practices, with implications for entitlements to in work benefits such as pensions. Both will generate significant political interest, making them candidates for a more consensual approach to policymaking.
 
 


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