A cautious approach is centre stage in the 2020 tips line-up.
In a departure from the norm, none of our panellists were prepared to back a commodity-focused fund or investment trust. Instead, several have taken a relatively cautious approach to traditionally higher-risk sectors, from India to private equity, while others are favouring income stalwarts such as infrastructure.
- More expert tips:
- Bond, property and multi-asset tips for 2020
- UK fund and trust tips for 2020
- Regional fund and trust tips for 2020
- Global fund and trust tips for 2020
- UK share tips: six ‘value’ stocks for 2020
- Six ‘speculative’ share ideas at the start of 2020
Stewart Investors Indian Subcontinent Sustainability
TR 1 year 10.9%, 3 years 22.5%, yield n/a
Tipped once again, having also been recommended in 2019. It has a very stable and superior long-term performance record among 17 specialist funds that focus on India. The two managers who run the fund, Sashi Reddy and David Gait, are highly experienced. FundExpert’s Brian Dennehy adds: “The fund taps into young demo- graphics, reform-minded governments and low debt levels that make much of the Asian region so attractive.”
Fund factsheet: Stewart Investors Indian Subcontinent Sustainability
Polar Capital Technology IT
SPTR 1 year 25.5%, 3 years 81.1%, yield n/a
A fund for those who believe the technology bull run is here to stay and that current valuations reflect reality rather than being excessive. This trust aims for capital growth from a sectorally diversified portfolio of technology companies. Two thirds are North American-based, with nearly a fifth in Asia including Japan. Net asset value total returns are ahead of the Dow Jones World Technology index over three, five and 10 years. Peter Hewitt likes its focus on mega caps such as Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple, many of which are on modest price/ earnings to growth (PEG) ratios.
Fund factsheet: Polar Capital Technology IT
Oakley Capital Investments IT
SPTR 1 year 32.8%, 3 years 69.9%, yield 1.4%
Invests for growth in private businesses, mainly in Europe. Founded in 2007 by lead manager Peter Dubens, its performance has picked up considerably over the past three years. According to John Newlands the wide discount (25% in late November) reflects investor worries about high fees and past decisions, such as a share dilution scheme. However, he is impressed by Dubens’s ability “to acquire and enhance great holdings”.
Fund factsheet: Oakley Capital Investments IT
First State Global Listed Infrastructure
TR 1 year 15.7%, 3 years 32.0%, yield 3.0%
Also tipped last year, and for the same reasons our experts are favouring the fund once again. First off, the panellists like infra- structure’s monopoly-like qualities, which provide stability through an economic cycle. Moreover, the key attraction of this fund is that the investment team keeps a close eye on preserving capital. Ben Yearsley describes it as a “core long-term holding”. He adds: “It invests in things many people have to use on a daily basis, which often have inflation-linked income streams.”
Fund factsheet: First State Global Listed Infrastructure
Polar Capital Global Insurance
TR 1 year 16.0%, 3 years 38.9%, yield n/a
Once again backed for 2020. Square Mile’s Victoria Hasler notes that this is a sleepy sub-sector of markets that is not widely covered, as it is perceived as too complex. A major attraction is the sector’s low cor- relation with equities. Fund manager Nick Martin is an experienced investor. Hasler adds: “It is a sensible strategy which emphasises well-managed and proven insurance companies that have high returns on equity and good underwriting records.”
Fund factsheet: Polar Capital Global Insurance
The Renewables Infrastructure IT
SPTR 1 year 22.2%, 3 years 46.1%, yield 6.0%
Another repeat recommendation, which works well as a diversifier in a portfolio, particularly as an alternative to the pricey and low-yielding bond market. The trust invests in wind, solar and battery projects for a high and consistent income stream with inflation protection. Wind currently dominates its portfolio, two thirds of which is UK-based. Net asset value total returns are among the best in its sector, and its shares yield 5.2%. Tim Cockerill says: “The majority of the return will come from income.”
Fund factsheet: The Renewables Infrastructure IT
Pantheon International IT
SPTR 1 year 13.4%, 3 years 37.4%, yield n/a
This is a US managed fund of private equity funds. The majority of its sub-funds focus on buyouts, and over half its portfolio is US-based. Investing for growth, it has achieved five and 10-year NAV returns well ahead of the MSCI World index. Its lack of yield helps explain its wide discount. Philippa Maffioli says it provides exposure to some of the best private equity managers in the world, and recommends it for those wanting to reduce their UK exposure.
Fund factsheet: Pantheon International IT
Jupiter Absolute Return
TR 1 year -3.3%, 3 years -8.4%, yield 1.2%
The targeted absolute return fund sector has a bad reputation and rightly so, as was pointed out in Money Observer’s December 2019 magazine. But James Clunie, the fund manager at the helm of this fund, is well regarded, although performance has been poor recently, Liontrust’s John Husselbee says. “We see alternative funds as those that provide low correlation to traditional asset classes; we divide potential holdings into hedge funds (or return enhancers) and absolute return vehicles (risk reducers). Jupiter Absolute Return comes in the latter category, a genuine long/short fund that has provided protection in falling markets.”
Fund factsheet: Jupiter Absolute Return
Note: (SP)TR = (share price) total return. At time of going to press, our 2020 Rated Fund selection had not been finalised. All performance data Morningstar, as at 1 December 2019.
Our fund and trust tips panellists
Our fund experts:
Ben Yearsley is a director at Shore Financial Planning. He formerly worked at Charles Stanley Direct and Hargreaves Lansdown.
Kelly Prior is an investment manager in BMO Global Asset Management’s multi-manager team, which is headed up by Rob Burdett and Gary Potter.
Mick Gilligan joined Killik & Co in 2001 and became a partner in 2004. He specialises in fund research.
John Husselbee is head of the Liontrust multi-asset team. He has more than 25 years’ experience in managing multi-asset portfolios.
Brian Dennehy is managing director at advisory firm Dennehy Weller. He also runs FundExpert, which provides research and insights for self-directed investors.
Victoria Hasler is head of research at Square Mile. Before joining Square Mile, Victoria worked for a Brewin Dolphin as a fund analyst.
Our trust experts:
Tim Cockerill is investment director at wealth manager Rowan Dartington, which is part of St James’s Place.
John Newlands was head of investment companies research at Brewin Dolphin. He now runs Newlands Fund Research.
Peter Hewitt has managed the BMO (formerly F&C) Portfolio trusts since 2008. He joined F&C in 1999.
Charles MacDonald is a partner at Rossie House Investment Management, which favours trusts for private client portfolios.
Philippa Maffioli joined Blyth-Richmond Investment Managers in 2001. She works with her father, who founded the business.